We compare prominent global energy scenarios of organisations and companies. We supplement the analysis with four own scenarios, which were derived from structured analytic techniques in combination with a numerical global energy and resource market model (Multimod). Our study provides three...

This paper is devoted to the multidisciplinary modelling of a pandemic initiated by an aggressive virus, specifically the so-called SARS-CoV-2 Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome, corona virus n.2. The study is developed within a multiscale framework accounting for the interaction of different...

With the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), the global community has set itself an ambitious development agenda. Current analytical and quantitative modeling capabilities fall short of being able to capture all 17 SDGs and their targets. Even highly ambitious and optimistic pathways currently...

This study aims to capture the co-movement between political risk and economic growth in Cyprus employing quarterly data over the time period between 1995Q1 and 2018Q4, adopting a wavelet coherence technique allowing to investigate both the short and long run causal link between economic growth...

This paper quantitatively assesses the economic implications of crediting carbon abatement from reduced deforestation for the emissions market in 2020 by linking a numerical equilibrium model of the global carbon market with a dynamic partial equilibrium model of the forestry sector. We find...

We analyze Sovereign Bond-Backed Securities, concentrating our attention on the return of the different tranches and on their risk. We show that as the correlation level among defaults increases, the yield rate of senior tranches increases while the yield rate of junior tranches decreases. A...

In this paper, we try to identify the relationship between the ESG scores and stocks' performance and risk measures. Using the ESG database of MSCI, we split the global investment universe into three regions: Europe, North America and Asia-Pacific. The investment universe of each region is...

The article analyzes how conventionalists, pioneers and criminals choose between a national currency (e.g. a central bank digital currency) and a global currency (e.g. a cryptocurrency such as Bitcoin) that both have specific characteristics in an economy. Conventionalists favor what is...

Bitcoin blockchain has grown into an active global virtual money network with millions of accounts.We propose a Sparse-Group Network AutoRegressive (SGNAR) model to understand the dynamics of its cross-border transactions. It describes the money flows of virtual funds, with a focus on the...

A five cent $0.05 investment in Bitcoin on July 17, 2010, the first date in which there appears to have been a published value had grown to $7,383.39 on July 18, 2018. While Bitcoin as a currency has existed for less than a decade ̶ it had a very limited liquidity and usage during the first few...