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The Flexible System of Global Models (FSGM) is a group of models developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis. A typical module of FSGM is a multi-region, forward-looking semi-structural global model consisting of 24 regions. Using the three core modules focused on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024429
We examine the relative ability of simple inflation targeting (IT) and price level targeting (PLT) monetary policy … rules to minimize both inflation variability and business cycle fluctuations in Canada for shocks that have important … persistent cost-push pressures in the economy leading to a significant deterioration in the inflation - output gap trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009546871
The growth-at-risk (GaR) framework links current macrofinancial conditions to the distribution of future growth. Its main strength is its ability to assess the entire distribution of future GDP growth (in contrast to point forecasts), quantify macrofinancial risks in terms of growth, and monitor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889156
modified small open-economy New Keynesian model to discuss the operation of a flexible inflation targeting framework (ITF). The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012980234
markets now expect is not enough to reduce inflation to targets, experience from previous global recessions suggests that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013383374
Inflation in advanced economies is low by historical standards but there is no threat of deflation. Slower economic … growth is caused by supply-side constraints rather than low inflation. Below-the-target inflation does not damage the … reputation of central banks. Thus, central banks should not try to bring inflation back to the targeted level of 2%. Rather, they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230450
Is inflation (still) a global phenomenon? We study the international co-movement of inflation based on a dynamic factor … explains approximately 58% of the variation in headline inflation across all countries and over 72% in OECD economies. The … explanatory power of global inflation is equally high in a shorter sample spanning the time since 2000. Core inflation is also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551069
useful information about variables such as commodity prices which matter for aggregate demand and thus inflation. Given this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010208787
do not force a central bank to tolerate higher inflation, but may generate a tradeoff between the central bank …'s objectives for inflation and real activity. The presence and size of this tradeoff depends on how flexible prices are in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013548986
. The world in 2022: slower growth, higher inflation, interest rate hikes .-- C. Effects on the region: large differences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013329423