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pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414783
pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044329
Pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance of DSGE models with and without financial frictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046125
forecasting solutions. In this context, the paper develops new forecasting methods for an old problem by employing 13 machine …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362692
This paper will provide information on what happened in the financial crisis of 2008 and how to graph volatility outside of the option market. We will investigate the causes of the financial crisis, as well as some of the social inequalities that still exist today. We will explore household...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993297
This paper examines the impact of climate shocks on 13 European economies analysing jointly business and financial cycles, in different phases and disentangling the effects for different sector channels. A Bayesian Panel Markov-switching framework is proposed to jointly estimate the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013241980
A series of standard and penalized logistic regression models is used for modeling and forecasting Great Recession and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257595
This paper suggests that there was a negative bubble in oil prices in 2014/15, which decreased them beyond the level justified by economic fundamentals. This proposition is corroborated by two sets of bubble detection strategies: the first set consists of tests for financial bubbles, while the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988565
The ex-ante forecast of the SP500 index discussed in Fantazzini (2010a), covering the time sample 14/04/2009-09/10/2010, and originally submitted to the Economics Bulletin on the 15/05/2009 is analyzed. It is found that the realized values of the SP500 index trailed the forecasted values quite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117963
) the log-periodic models outperform standard financial models when long-term out-of-sample forecasting is of concern. ii …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131972