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The spillover effects of interconnectedness between financial assets are decomposed into both sources of shocks and … whether they amplify or dampen volatility conditions in the target market. We use historical decompositions to rearrange … decomposition approach of Diebold and Yilmaz (2009). A spillover index based on historical decompositions has simple asymptotic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948930
vary over time. Our results reveal that the stock market is the dominant contributor to volatility spillover, while the … crude oil is mostly the volatility spillover recipient. The asymmetric spillover effects are predominantly negative in the …This study uses the Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) to explore asymmetric volatility spillovers between crude oil and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433363
-Pacific), which are likely to be highly correlated. This paper analyses the volatility spillover effects across and within the four …Crude oil price volatility has been analyzed extensively for organized spot, forward and futures markets for well over … a decade, and is crucial for forecasting volatility and Value-at-Risk (VaR). There are four major benchmarks in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159943
This paper estimates univariate and multivariate conditional volatility and conditional correlation models of spot … volatilities across returns for each market. The estimates of volatility spillovers and asymmetric effects for negative and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159992
volatility of these commodities. The daily returns of Brent, gold and silver from 8 April 1999 to 7 April 2009 are employed to … model the volatility and volatility spillovers across markets. The univariate conditional volatility models suggest that … there is time-varying volatility in all assets. Moreover, asymmetry is observed in the Brent and gold markets. For …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155205
This study examines the nexus between precious metals (gold and silver) and oil (crude oil and heating oil) realized volatilities introducing a novel quantile extended joint connectedness framework combining quantile vector autoregression (White et al., 2015) with the extended joint...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289227
heteroscedasticity (GARCH)-type models to forecast oil price volatility over the time periods from January 02, 1875 to December 31, 1895 … indicate that none of our volatility models can uniformly outperform other models across all six different loss functions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010488966
forecasting horizons. Therefore, a long memory volatility model compared to a short memory GARCH model does not appear to improve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910119
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003839329
This paper considers the problem of model uncertainty in the case of multi-asset volatility models and discusses the … management. Evaluation of volatility models is then considered and a simple Value-at-Risk (VaR) diagnostic test is proposed for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316571