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Decision-making, uncertainty and the predictability of financial markets: essays on interest rates, crude oil prices and exchange rates
Kunze, Frederik - 2018
Es liegt in der Verantwortung von ökonomischen Entscheidungsträgern, Entscheidungen unter Unsicherheit zu treffen. Finanzmarktunsicherheit kann ökonomische Aktivität negativ beeinflussen. In diesem Sinn können Prognosen theoretisch einen ökonomischen Mehrwert liefern. Diese kumulative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012169117
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IMF trade forecasts for crisis countries : bias, inefficiency, and their origins
Eicher, Theo S.; Kawai, Reina - In: International journal of forecasting 39 (2023) 4, pp. 1615-1639
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465338
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The impact of uncertainty on professional exchange rate forecasts
Beckmann, Joscha; Czudaj, Robert - 2016
This paper analyzes the role of uncertainty on both exchange rate expectations and forecast errors of professionals for … Bayesian VAR approach, we observe that effects on forecast errors of professionals turn out to be more significant compared to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011532311
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Exchange rate predictability in a changing world
Byrne, Joseph P.; Korobilis, Dimitris; Ribeiro, Pinho J. - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010346571
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Methodical madness : technical analysis and the irrationality of exchange-rate forecasts
Chang, P. H. Kevin; Osler, Carol - In: The economic journal : the journal of the Royal … 109 (1999), pp. 636-661
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001433089
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Möglichkeiten der Wechselkursprognose : empirische Untersuchungen zur Informationseffizienz des Devisenmarktes
Leoni, Wolfgang - 1990
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000791898
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Künstliche neuronale Netze versus ökonometrische und zeitreihenanalytische Verfahren zur Prognose ökonomischer Zeitreihen
Zimmerer, Thomas - 1997
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012699281
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Exchange rate predictability in a changing world
Byrne, Joseph P.; Korobilis, Dimitris; Ribeiro, Pinho J. - In: Journal of international money and finance 62 (2016), pp. 1-24
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011668284
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The impact of uncertainty on professional exchange rate forecasts
Beckmann, Joscha; Czudaj, Robert - In: Journal of international money and finance 73 (2017), pp. 296-316
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011787733
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Forecasting base metal prices with exchange rate expectations
Pincheira, Pablo; Hardy, Nicolás - In: Journal of forecasting 42 (2023) 8, pp. 2341-2362
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014432904