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Labor markets in low- and middle income countries are characterized by high levels of informality. A multitude of interventions have therefore been implemented in many countries with the objective to increase the formalization of firms and workers, including information campaigns, simplification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865842
This paper uses fractional integration methods to measure the degree of persistence in historical annual data on the world population over the period 1800-2016. The analysis is carried out for the original series, and also for its log transformation and its growth rate. The results indicate that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013550205
Contagion is an extremely important topic in finance. Contagion is at the core of most major financial crises, in particular the 2008 financial crisis. Although various approaches to quantifying contagion have been proposed, many of them lack a causal interpretation. We will present a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309120
When the global economy hit the wall in 2007-08 (i.e. sub-prime mortgage debacle in 2006 followed by the 2008 global credit mayhem, originated in the U.S. before spreading to Europe as sovereign debt crisis), an extensive research by economists, scholars and academia compared and contrasted the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833643
This paper analyses the world web of mergers and acquisitions (M&As) using a complex network approach. We use data of M&As to build a temporal sequence of binary and weighted-directed networks for the period 1995-2010 and 224 countries (nodes) connected according to their M&As flows (links). We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961055
One microscopic coronavirus has done what US sanctions, tariffs, embargoes, trade war, and the use of dollar as a weapon of economic destruction have failed to accomplish. The COVID-19 pandemic shock has caused unconceivable damage; 200,000 stolen lives in the U.S. (and close to 1 million in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823505
Global warming is likely to have unimaginable disruptions in every aspect of human life by 2050 if some actions are not taken immediately to reduce its fast acceleration. Since the Industrial Revolution (1900s), the global mean surface temperature has warmed up approximately +0.8 °C (1.4 °F)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860703
Galvanized by the claims of Greenwood et al. in Bubbles for Fama that “a sharp price increase of an industry portfolio does not, on average, predict unusually low returns going forward”, and Fama’s quote (June, 2016) that “Statistically, people have not come up with ways of identifying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800716
Metaphorically speaking, prior to the man-created dollar virus leaked from the 1944 Bretton Woods Conference (i.e. the virology lab), financial crises were termed as a panic and the Panic of 1907 was the last financial crisis termed this way. The roaring 1920s (equity and housing bubbles in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290947
This study analyses oil price movements through the lens of an agnostic random forest model, which is based on 1,000 regression trees. It shows that this highly disciplined, yet flexible computational model reduces in-sample root mean square errors (RMSEs) by 65% relative to a standard linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293295