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inflation expectations increased leading to fears of their un-anchoring. Using the first principal component of commodity prices …. Using a Phillips Curve framework we find a structural change after the collapse of Lehman Brothers when inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916305
Many commentators have argued that if the Federal Reserve had followed a stricter monetary policy earlier this decade when the housing bubble was forming, and if Congress had not deregulated banking but had imposed tighter financial standards, the housing boom and bust - and the subsequent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155688
This monograph challenges the myth that the recent banking crisis was caused by insufficient statutory regulation of financial markets. Though it finds that statutory regulation failed, and that market participants took more risks than they should have done, it appears that statutory regulation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156184
The analysis in this paper was presented to the Federal Open Market Committee as background for its discussion of the Federal Reserve's review of monetary policy strategy, tools, and communication practices. The Committee discussed issues related to the review at five consecutive meetings from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824115
We review the macroeconomic performance during the Global Financial Crisis and subsequent economic expansion, as well as the challenges in the pursuit of the Federal Reserve's dual mandate. We characterize the use of forward guidance and balance sheet policies after the federal funds rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323823
We review macroeconomic performance over the period since the Global Financial Crisis and the challenges in the pursuit of the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate. We characterize the use of forward guidance and balance sheet policies after the federal funds rate reached the effective lower bound....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048774
during the last 20 years. All central banks under review target a small and positive inflation rate (typically 2%). In most … strategies when the policy rate is constrained by the effective lower bound (ELB). Under standard inflation targeting, inflation … inflation target performs better than a range, especially if compared to an asymmetric one with the focal point close to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307762
In this paper, we examine whether domestic or global output gap affects inflation in three panels: the European Union … inflation in individual countries of the European Union. To find the determinants of inflation, we employ the Granger causality … show that after the crisis the global output gap predicts the evolution of inflation in the Eurozone panel. On the other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014464251
The Taylor rule has become the dominant model for academic evaluation of out-of-sample exchange rate predictability. Two versions of the Taylor rule model are the Taylor rule fundamentals model, where the variables that enter the Taylor rule are used to forecast exchange rate changes, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904307
of their specific occupational background. Third, party members react significantly less to inflation and more to output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009775039