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There is no consensus over the importance of "global forces" on inflation. This study explores the role of structural … breaks in the inflation process, and their timing, whether it is common across countries, and the extent to which "global … forces" are relevant. Three conclusions stand out. Global inflation impacts inflation in both AE and EME, but the impact is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269197
the exchange rate), but maintains the recursive order for the traditional macroeconomic variables (GDP and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014197887
Inflation in advanced economies is low by historical standards but there is no threat of deflation. Slower economic … growth is caused by supply-side constraints rather than low inflation. Below-the-target inflation does not damage the … reputation of central banks. Thus, central banks should not try to bring inflation back to the targeted level of 2%. Rather, they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230450
We identify structural vector autoregressions using narrative sign restrictions. Narrative sign restrictions constrain the structural shocks and the historical decomposition around key historical events, ensuring that they agree with the established narrative account of these episodes. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570683
We identify structural vector autoregressions using narrative sign restrictions. Narrative sign restrictions constrain the structural shocks and/or the historical decomposition around key historical events, ensuring that they agree with the established narrative account of these episodes. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966953
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225237
We examine the relative ability of simple inflation targeting (IT) and price level targeting (PLT) monetary policy … rules to minimize both inflation variability and business cycle fluctuations in Canada for shocks that have important … persistent cost-push pressures in the economy leading to a significant deterioration in the inflation - output gap trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009546871
It has been argued that economies with more independent central banks experience lower inflation over time. In this … the inflation rate dynamics. Second, we implement a panel data analysis. We find evidence that legislative reforms that … modify the degree of independence of a central bank have a strong impact on the inflation rate dynamics. Moreover, underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975112
framework is then used to interpret the evolution of central bank independence from the Great Inflation throughout the Great …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004944
private sector inflation forecasts. But beyond the optimum people might: (1) start to attach too much weight to the … deteriorates the (perceived) quality of private sector inflation forecasts. Inflation then is set in a more backward looking manner … resulting in higher inflation persistence. By using a panel data set on the transparency of 100 central banks we find empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012714128