We show that the quarterly bilateral real exchange rate for 1275 country pairs over 1980–2015 is positively correlated with the relative price of non-traded to traded goods, but that movements in the relative price measure are smaller than those in the real exchange rate. Variance...

This paper develops a new Early Warning System (EWS) model for predicting financial crises, based on a multinomial logit model. It is shown that EWS approaches based on binomial discrete-dependent-variable models can be subject to what we call a post-crisis bias. This bias arises when no...

We study the quarterly bilateral real exchange rate and the relative price of non-traded to traded goods for 1225 country pairs over 1980-2005. We show that the two variables are positively correlated, but that movements in the relative price measure are smaller than those in the real exchange...

This paper addresses the consumption-real exchange rate anomaly. International real business cycle models based on complete financial markets predict a unitary correlation between the real exchange rate and the ratio of home to foreign consumption when subjected to supply side shocks. In the...

We suggest a pseudo economic openness that has a linear relationship with the real exchange rate volatility. The pseudo economic openness implies that the real exchange rate volatility is a concave function of pure economic openness. Therefore, the pseudo economic openness should be used to...

The aim of this chapter is made to test the validity of purchasing power parity (PPP) between the Slovak Republic vis-à-vis the member countries of Visegrad Group using Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test for unit root and various techniques inspecting the presence of cointegration (i.e. the...