Relative GDP shares are frequently used as weights in aggregations. In order to ensure that these weights reflect countries` shares in real output, GDP data in national currencies should be converted into a common numeraire currency at purchasing power parity (PPP) rates. A review of the...

Word embeddings are vectors of real numbers associated with words, designed to capture semantic and syntactic similarity between the words in a corpus of text. We estimate the word embeddings of the European Central Bank's introductory statements at monetary policy press conferences by using a...

We argue that measurement error in historical price data has led researchers to erroneously believe that there was little persistence of inflation during the 19th century. Using a statistical technique that accounts for these errors, we estimate the persistence of (a) US inflation and (b)...

This paper examines the 2021-2022 global inflation surge and the belated but aggressive monetary policy response to it by advanced economy central banks. Drawing on body of recent empirical research, it identifies three primary drivers of the global inflation surge: supply shocks from pandemic...

Central banks often face tradeoffs in how their monetary policy decisions impact economic activity (including employment), inflation and the price level. This paper assesses how these tradeoffs have evolved over time and varied across countries, with a focus on understanding the post-pandemic...

The paper examines the factors of global inflation acceleration in 2021-2022. We consider primarily the developed economies, where rates of inflation over the last two years have exceeded multi-year highs and have significantly exceeded target levels. We find that the cause of accelerating...

The Covid-19 pandemic, aggravated by the Russia-Ukraine war, unleashed the worst inflation in four decades in the United States and other advanced economies. This study reviews the contributions of supply shortages and excess demand to the inflation surge. It argues that too little attention was...

Decentralized finance (DeFi) has emerged as a credible challenger in the financial industry's current norms. It employs cutting-edge solutions to decentralize banking and industry concepts and provide financial services to anybody, everywhere. It also intends to improve financial inclusion by...

Existing literature has focused on the relationship between oil and conflict. Yet, many of these studies have failed to study a critical variable mediating the effect that the fluctuating market price for oil has on conflict, particularly conflict intensity. We theorize that the military...

Understanding of the macroeconomic effects of climate change is developing rapidly, but the implications for past and future inflation remain less well understood. Here we exploit a global dataset of monthly consumer price indices to identify the causal impacts of changes in climate on...