Showing 1 - 10 of 454
We show that countries that take on more international risk are rewarded with higher expected consumption growth …. International risk is defined as the beta of a country’s consumption growth with world consumption growth. High-beta countries hold … is negatively correlated with expected consumption growth. Therefore, uninsured shocks affect not only current growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003715562
We collect 2,735 estimates of the elasticity of intertemporal substitution in consumption from 169 published studies … participation substitute a larger fraction of consumption intertemporally in response to changes in expected asset returns. Micro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786885
Using VAR analysis on US data, we show that unanticipated fiscal expansions boost private consumption and business … crowding-in of both consumption and entry can be generated only under very specific assumptions. In a static model with full … such that future profits are high enough to generate entry. However, consumption falls for conventional parameter values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339394
the aggregate consumption to income ratio. By standard intertemporal budget constraint logic, this ratio is linked to … expectations of future income and consumption growth rates. We investigate whether these expectations suffice to explain the shifts … in the consumption-income ratio that occur during disaster periods or whether, on the other hand, consumers become more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012511037
consumption, as captured by the long-run marginal propensity to consume from financial wealth (mpcw). The international evidence … changes in both consumption and wealth. Using a suitable panel technique, it is found that the hypothesis of a common long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014060309
This paper assesses the linkages between money, credit, house prices and economic activity in industrialised countries over the last three decades. The analysis is based on a fixed-effects panel VAR estimated using quarterly data for 17 industrialized countries spanning the period 1970-2006. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778768
This paper proposes an integrated framework to analyze jointly two key issues: the emergence of global imbalances and the precautionary motive for accumulating reserves. Standard models of general equilibrium would predict modest current account surpluses in the emerging markets if they face...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003775798
on consumption. Using modern panel data econometric techniques and quarterly data for the period 1990:1-2008:2, we show … countries; (iii) housing wealth effects have increased for Asian coutries in recent years; and (iv) consumption reacts stronger … to negative than to positive shocks in housing and financial wealth. -- Wealth effects ; consumption ; emerging markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831615
The global imbalances of the 2000s and the recent global financial crisis are intimately connected. Both originate in the combination of economic policies adopted by the two key economies, the US and China. Global financial markets served as a transmission belt, both during the boom as during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003934687
This paper presents an inter-temporal model of individual behavior with uncertainty about marriage and divorce and which accommodates the possible presence of economies or diseconomies of scale from marriage. We show that a scenario of higher marriage rates and higher divorce rates will be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003997600