Showing 1 - 10 of 3,105
We study the dynamics of inflation persistence in 45 countries for the period 1960-2008. We use a nonparametric unit … inflation data, and a test for multiple changes in persistence, which decomposes the sample information between adjacent I(0 …) and I(1) periods. We find that (1) With very few exceptions, inflation around the world rejects a unit root, (2) for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003821061
Inflation in advanced economies is low by historical standards but there is no threat of deflation. Slower economic … growth is caused by supply-side constraints rather than low inflation. Below-the-target inflation does not damage the … reputation of central banks. Thus, central banks should not try to bring inflation back to the targeted level of 2%. Rather, they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230450
This paper examines the long-run validity of purchasing power parity (PPP) for four high-inflation countries. The …, during the recent floating exchange rate period, PPP holds well, at least in a weak form, in high-inflation countries where …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071881
Low and unresponsive inflation has been termed a “puzzle.” The paper describes a formula for which these conditions … variability of forward long-term inflation. Its U.S. inflation forecasts are comparable to recognized leaders in accuracy with … potential applicability to international economies as well.Inflation Elasticity, the responsiveness of inflation to monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858878
In the years 2021-2022, world inflation has drastically increased. The analyses of the main characteristics of the 2007 …-financial sector suggest that the growth of inflation was triggered by excessive debt growth of the government sector in 2020-2021. In … recession, however their value was too high to keep inflation in the world under control. Fiscal intervention of particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403278
facts: (i) the long-run link between money growth and inflation and (ii) the link between credit growth and financial crises …. The analysis reveals that the former has weakened over time, while the latter has become stronger. Moreover, the money-inflation … two monetary facts. The money-inflation link is weaker in regimes characterised by low inflation and highly liberalised …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989876
(notably residential property) and inflation; and it looks at the role of public debt for consumer price developments. On the … basis of a VAR analysis, the study finds that i) global money demand shocks affect global inflation and also global … commodity prices, which in turn impact on inflation; global asset/property price dynamics appear to respond to financing cost …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315888
In this paper, inflation dynamics in the United Kingdom are re-examined. Standard specifications of traditional … Phillips curves have tended to overpredict inflation in the recent low inflation, low unemployment era in the United States … Phillips curve framework by introducing external shocks (terms of trade shocks or domestically generated inflation). This does …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014105723
We examine the effect of inflation variability and economic growth using annual historical data on both developing and … inflation variability by the five-year coefficient of variation of inflation, we obtain the following results: (1) For … developing countries, there is significant evidence to suggest that when the rate of inflation exceeds 10% inflation variability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038056
inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the …, especially negative ones, have a stronger impact on inflation than OPU ones and capture some of the monetary policy uncertainty …, thereby reducing the direct effect of interest rate changes on inflation. Since EPU shocks reflect, at least to some extent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543029