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Gold is a globally traded asset and held in large quantities by investors and central banks. Since there is no … established model to assess if the price of gold is overvalued or undervalued, we propose a relative valuation framework based on … gold price ratios. We analyze gold prices relative to commodity prices, consumer prices, stock prices, dividend and bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434341
explanations for this phenomenon are leverage and a volatility feedback effect. This paper studies the volatility of gold and … volatility by more than negative shocks. The paper argues that this effect is related to the safe haven property of gold …. Investors interpret positive gold price changes as a signal for future adverse conditions and uncertainty in other asset markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906144
This paper studies recurring annual events potentially introducing seasonality into gold prices. We analyze gold … statistically significant gold price changes. This “autumn effect” holds unconditionally and conditional on several risk factors. We … stock market, wedding season gold jewelery demand in India and negative investor sentiment due to shorter daylight time. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112015
This paper provides a global analysis of capital flow impacts on GDP for selected emerging economies. As additional control variables, we also include currency reserves and effective exchange rates in our analysis. We distinguish between gross and net capital flows and also assess the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011776962
assets (gold, oil, and stocks) covering the period from 1987 to 2012. The analysis is performed on both intra-day and daily …. Heterogeneity prevails in correlations between gold and stocks. After the 2008 crisis, correlations among all three assets increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407524
assets (gold, oil, and stocks) covering the period from 1987 to 2012. The analysis is performed on both intra-day and daily …. Heterogeneity prevails in correlations between gold and stocks. After the 2008 crisis, correlations among all three assets increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063358
examine the multiscale interdependence structure of global equity, gold, and oil markets prior to and following the COVID-19 …, and kurtosis). With respect to the equity-gold nexus, we find that stock (gold) returns and volatility negatively … (positively) lead their gold (stock) counterparts at medium- and long-term scales in the pandemic period, while asymmetry risk in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013447921
This paper examines the dynamic relationships between gold and stock markets in China. Using daily gold and stock … between gold and stock and to check the effectiveness of gold as a hedge or a safe haven for stocks. Results showed that: (1 … to the increasing investment demand of gold, the hedging effect of gold on China’s stock market has strengthened …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011759995
competing models. We show that the forecasting gains translate into economically and statistically significant (risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313235
Currency carry trading presents a widespread trading strategy and refers to the forward premium puzzle. Investors borrow low-yielding currencies with the aim to invest in high-yielding ones in order to benefit from arbitrage opportunities. This implies that a one-to-one relationship does not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868519