Hamilton’s essay begins with a reflection on food and society. He writes of the effect of modernization and industry on the relationship America has with food. What once was a centerpiece of our economic independence, family life, and health is now merely an afterthought. Quality and trust in...

A market regime-switching model is developed that has rate of trade identified using a rent-weighted approach. The model also indirectly accounts for the impacts of other competitors through separate specifications of variation parameters across alternate seasons. Commodity futures prices are...

This paper estimates the long memory volatility model for 16 agricultural commodity futures returns from different futures markets, namely corn, oats, soybeans, soybean meal, soybean oil, wheat, live cattle, cattle feeder, pork, cocoa, coffee, cotton, orange juice, Kansas City wheat, rubber, and...

The world sugar economy has changed a large amount within a less of century because of economic and politic situation in the country which may transform an exporter to be importer. However, there are several factors may influence the transformation and those are forecasted to see how far those...

This paper explores changes in the level and composition of per capita food consumption across the world; it does not discuss intra-country inequalities in food access, nor the prevalence of hunger resulting from those inequalities. The world's food output has more than trebled since 1961 whilst...

This paper examines the duration and magnitude of cycles in commodity prices. We find that for the majority of commodities, price slumps last longer than price booms. How far prices fall in a slump is found to be slightly larger than how far they tend to rebound in a subsequent boom. We also...

Using the correlations of VAR forecast errors at different horizons, this paper analyses the dynamics of co-movements between crude oil and food prices. For each food price considered, the VAR model is estimated on two subsample periods: a pre-commodity boom (1990M1-2006M12) and a post-boom...

Climate anomalies affect agricultural production in different parts of the world and can impact price behavior of internationally traded commodities. This research examines the effect of a particular climate phenomenon, El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), on wheat prices from the major...

Commodity-equity return co-movements rose dramatically during the Great Recession. This development took place following what has been dubbed the “financialization” of commodity markets. We first document changes since 1995 in the relative importance of financial institutions' activity in...

This study aimed to investigate the dynamics of long-term relationship between the prices of crude oil and the prices of rice within the period from January 2004 to March 2015. Crude oil prices referred to the prices issued by West Texas Intermediate (WTI), and rice prices to the prices of...