. This paper proposes a number of approaches to forecast short-term changes in selected world economic variables and aims …, first, at ranking various forecasting methods in terms of forecast accuracy and, second, at checking whether methods … direct forecasts at the aggregate levels (top-down approaches), the forecast accuracy is neither improved nor deteriorated (i …

, particularly affected by foreign trade. DIW Berlin’s forecast indicates global economic growth of 3.7 percent for 2019 and 3 … situation in Italy are causing uncertainty. Against this backdrop, monetary policy is likely to be expansionary in the forecast …

both the advanced economies and the emerging and developing economies. With a focus on the forecast for the current and the …

gathering picking up during the recession period. We also find that forecast revisions depend on both own country and cross …-country lagged revisions. Therefore, one source of information rigidity is not to incorporate overseas events in forecast revisions …