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, one potentially adverse effect of globalization is the possibility that business cycle volatility might increase. Rapid …The globalization of capital and product markets has many implications for economic welfare. Countries can specialize … to unstable international capital flows. At the same time, business cycle volatility in OECD countries seems to have been …
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, one potentially adverse effect of globalization is the possibility that business cycle volatility might increase. Rapid …The globalization of capital and product markets has many implications for economic welfare. Countries can specialize … to unstable international capital flows. At the same time, business cycle volatility in OECD countries seems to have been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001680906
This paper estimates global bad and good uncertainties from monthly data on industrial production from a large set of countries. Bad and good uncertainties have opposite effects on macro aggregates and stock returns. An increase in bad uncertainty adversely impacts both, while an increase in...
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factor are typically small, with the annualized unconditional volatility estimated at 0.06%, but highly persistent, with … estimated persistence at 0.98. Evidence of time variation in the volatility of the global factor is overwhelming as there are … times in which volatility could be several times larger than its unconditional level (about ten times in the aftermath of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908986
Inflation volatility is clearly important for structural analysis, forecasting and policy purposes, yet it is often … overlooked in the literature. This paper compares in ation volatility among advanced open economies with in ation targeting …, the volatility of in ation was similar among countries, even when controlling for monetary policy activity and other …
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