Showing 1 - 10 of 26,151
Modelling and forecasting of asset volatility and covariance is of prime importance in the construction of portfolios. In this paper, we present a generalised multi-factor model that incorporates heteroskedasticity and dependence in the idiosyncratic error terms. We apply this model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002082
Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification that allows the long-term correlation component to be a function of multiple … explanatory variables, we show that the stock-bond correlation in the US, the UK, Germany, France, and Italy is mainly driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011745369
Futures markets are a potentially valuable source of information about price expectations. Exploiting this information has proved difficult in practice, because time-varying risk premia often render the futures price a poor measure of the market expectation of the price of the underlying asset....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434566
Futures markets are a potentially valuable source of information about market expectations. Exploiting this information has proved difficult in practice, because the presence of a timevarying risk premium often renders the futures price a poor measure of the market expectation of the price of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010409922
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012515166
matrix approximates the true latent covariance, a model that uses high frequency information for the correlation is more … correlation, the multivariate model tends to produce forecasts of tail risk which are lower than the realized tail risk, under the … ; volatility asymmetry ; mixed frequency model ; conditional correlation ; risk evaluation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009664313
Im Gegensatz zur Volatilität wurde der Korrelation in der Forschung bisher viel weniger Beachtung geschenkt, obwohl die … Korrelation in der Finanzwissenschaft eine zentrale Rolle spielt. Die vorliegende Doktorarbeit ergänzt die bestehende Literatur …, indem sie verschiedene Aspekte der Korrelation von Wechselkursen untersucht sowie neue Methoden zur Schätzung und Prognose …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009713291
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412849
's information set for the myopic stock-bond portfolio. In-sample I find that the best forecast of the volatility and correlation is … value of timing stock-bond correlation using analyst forecasts is 1.56% annually. Robustness checks highlight the use of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975364
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309392