This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...

In recent years there has been a growing interest in the impact of inequality on economic growth. Both theoretical and empirical approaches have produced ambiguous results on sign and size of this relationship. Although there is a considerable part of the literature that considers inequality...

The paper argues that when developing an explanatory model of the early-stage entrepreneurial activity level (measured by total index of early entrepreneurial activity - TEA) one should consider the "path dependency" of the "institutional matrix" of different societies. Otherwise one could...

The 2004 survey shows a surge in traditional foreign exchange trading. This seems to have been driven by momentum trading and carry trades in a global search for yield on the part of institutional investors and leveraged players as well as by hedging activity

When firms evaluate their service system design choices, there is typically more uncertainty surrounding the value that a particular auxiliary service provides than there is on the cost of providing that service. To help inform this decision, we propose an approach where we compare the relative...

This paper presents a new methodology for the determination of the just noticeable difference which is required for the quantification of qualitative survey data. Traditional conversion methods, such as the probability approach of Carlson and Parkin (1975), the regression method of Pesaran...

Comprehensive coverage of national accounts estimates is important; however, it is often thwarted by gaps in the recording of economic activity - the so-called unrecorded economy. This paper sets out pragmatic statistical approaches for incorporating the unrecorded economy in the national...

For the first time in 15 years, FX trading volumes contracted between two consecutive BIS Triennial Surveys. The decline in trading by leveraged institutions and "fast money" traders, and a reduction in risk appetite, have contributed to a significant drop in spot market activity. More active...

This comment is submitted in response to the European Commission's (EC's) public consultation on the Regulatory Environment for Platforms, Online Intermediaries, Data, Cloud Computing, and the Collaborative Economy.The comment addresses: (1) concerns that the EC's survey methodology and design...

The latest BIS Triennial Survey shows that global foreign exchange trading increased to more than $6 trillion per day. Trading bounced back strongly following a dip in 2016, buoyed by increased trading with financial clients such as lower-tier banks, hedge funds and principal trading firms....