Showing 1 - 10 of 50,824
country- and variable-specific effects of central bank transparency on forecast accuracy and their dispersion among a large … set of professional forecasts of financial and macroeconomic variables. More communication even increases forecast errors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011790688
cause them to overreact to the signals from the central bank, leading the economy to be too sensitive to common forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095161
Policy rates have on aggregate been below the levels implied by the Taylor rule for most of the period since the early 2000s in both advanced and emerging market economies. This finding suggests that monetary policy has probably been systematically accommodative for most of the past decade. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001575868
In this paper, we analyze the relationship between certain characteristics of incumbent central bank governors and their interest-rate-setting behavior. We focus on (i) occupational backgrounds, (ii) party affiliation, and (iii) experience in office and estimate augmented Taylor rules for 20...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009775039
Inflation in advanced economies is low by historical standards but there is no threat of deflation. Slower economic growth is caused by supply-side constraints rather than low inflation. Below-the-target inflation does not damage the reputation of central banks. Thus, central banks should not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230450
rule are used to forecast exchange rate changes, and the Taylor rule differentials model, where a Taylor rule with … postulated coefficients is used in the forecasting regression. We use data from 1973 to 2014 to evaluate short-run out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904307
I document differences in interest rate expectations between central banks and the private sector and show why such a gap is a puzzle. I then create a measure of central bank credibility by taking the absolute value of the difference in expectations, which I use in an event study across several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295236
This paper compares the performance of economies with different monetary regimes during the last quarter century. The conclusions include: (1) There is little evidence that inflation targeting affects performance in advanced economies, but some evidence of benefits in emerging economies; (2)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025619
On 11-12 May 2011, SUERF and the Belgian Financial Forum, in association with the Brussels Finance Institute and the Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS) organized the 29th SUERF Colloquium "New Paradigms in Money and Finance?". All the papers in the present SUERF Study are based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011711450