This paper sheds new light on a long-standing puzzle in the international finance literature, namely, that exchange rate expectations appear inaccurate and even irrational. We find for a comprehensive dataset that individual forecasters' performance is skill-based. 'Superior' forecasters show...

This paper is an attempt to understand the effects of leaders on organizational performance. We argue for an "expert leader" model of leadership. We differentiate between four kinds of leaders according to their level of inherent knowledge and industry experience. After controlling for...