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In this paper, we study the effectiveness of carry trade strategies during and after the financial crisis using a flexible approach to modeling currency returns. We decompose the currency returns into multiplicative sign and absolute return components, which exhibit much greater predictability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313235
We provide an in-depth analysis of the predictive ability of models with fundamentals and technical indicators for fourteen emerging market currencies. Our findings suggest that the forecasts from the symmetric Taylor rule as well as from a predictive regression exploiting the informational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898584
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012128296
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011808567
In this paper, we study the effectiveness of carry trade strategies during and after the financial crisis using a flexible approach to modeling currency returns. We decompose the currency returns into multiplicative sign and absolute return components, which exhibit much greater predictability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948703