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vector autoregressive (GVAR) specification with drifting coefficients and factor stochastic volatility in the errors to model …
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metal price series is investigated, as well as time-varying volatility. The results demonstrate that allowing for jumps and … time-varying volatility provides statistically important improvements in the modelling or prices, relative to GBM. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012038566
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In this paper we examine the empirical performance of affine jump diffusion models with stochastic volatility in a time … method. The support for a stochastic volatility model including jumps in both prices and volatility is strong and the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070384
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The asset value of government has traditionally been seen as the accounting value of public assets. We develop a detailed financial economics view on sovereign asset values using market measures to arrive at implied sovereign asset values. We establish definition and dependencies within the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486036
According to a growing body of empirical literature, global shocks have become less important for business cycles in industrialized countries and emerging market economies since the mid-1980s. In this paper, we analyze the question of what might have caused a decoupling from the global business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584095
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volatility of US and UK GDP growth appears to have become increasingly correlated in the recent past. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554403