Showing 1 - 10 of 38,342
, but also provides a more flexible measure to capture an asymmetric dependence among assets. CoVaR, the Value-at-Risk of … risk contribution that the institution adds to the entire system. Combined with the modified CoVaR methodology and … estimation of the dependence structures through vine copula modeling, we empirically investigate systemic risk in 10 S&P 500 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033081
We propose a measure for systemic risk: CoVaR, the value at risk (VaR) of the financial system conditional on … institutions being under distress. We define an institution's contribution to systemic risk as the difference between CoVaR … leverage, size, and maturity mismatch predict systemic risk contribution. We also provide out of sample forecasts of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119814
theory based models provide a reasonable degree of safety while widespread VaR models do not provide adequate risk coverage …The purpose of this paper is to investigate the performance of VaR models at measuring risk for WTI oil one …-month futures returns. Risk models, ranging from industry standards such as RiskMetrics and historical simulation to conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081915
This paper exploits a data rich environment to provide direct econometric estimates of time-varying macroeconomic uncertainty, defined as the common volatility in the unforecastable component of a large number of economic indicators. Our estimates display significant independent variations from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075857
We introduce a new US uncertainty index which is more sensitive to consumer spending and therefore reflects households’ decisions. We find evidence that macroeconomic uncertainty shocks impose negative, statistically significant, and long-lasting effects on consumption, income and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239641
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009349185
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009741912
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009623151
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009759167
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010346386