In communities highly dependent on rain fed agriculture for their livelihoods, the common occurrence of climatic shocks such as droughts can lower the opportunity cost of having children, and raise fertility. Using longitudinal household data from Madagascar, we estimate the causal effect of...

GLOBAL FINANCE LIQUIDITY RISK REVISITED: Development of A Framework for Liquidity Assessment in Portfolio Construction Process: Presentations to the JP Morgan Global Head of Quant Research & Analytics and US Head of Portfolio Construction Teams:Presentations To: JP Morgan Global Head of Quant...

GLOBAL FINANCE LIQUIDITY RISK REVISITED: JP Morgan Alternative Assets Portfolio Liquidity Assessment Framework & Models: $500 Billion Fund of Funds: 17 Asset ClassesPresentations atJP Morgan World HQ, 270 Park Ave, Manhattan, NY, USAToJP Morgan Global Head of Quant Research & Analytics, JP...

Recent years have seen a growing literature on the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) that resorts in a large part to cointegration techniques. The EKC literature has failed to acknowledge that such regressions involve unit root nonstationary regressors and their integer powers (e.g. GDP and GDP...

The September 2008 collapse of Lehman Brothers was the 9/11 on Wall Street, and many articles had been written on the changes in the global risk landscape that followed. However, there is scarcity of rigorous studies using empirical data and advanced econometric methods to verify such a change...

This article introduces the R package ExtremeBounds to perform extreme bounds analysis (EBA), a sensitivity test that examines how robustly the dependent variable of a regression model is related to a variety of possible determinants. ExtremeBounds supports Leamer's EBA that focuses on the upper...

This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...

New macro empirical evidence is provided to assess the relative importance of object and idea gaps in explaining the world income distribution dynamics. Formal statistical hypothesis tests allow us to discriminate between two competing growthmodels: (i) the standard neoclassical growth model...

Funds of Hedge Funds (FoHFs) are often thought to have excess skewness relative to the S&P 500. We illustrate by means of novel econometric methods that this arises because of a buy-and-hold strategy with respect to underlying hedge funds, which exhibit excess skewness with respect to the...