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The current study shows that real estate prices in several countries reveal a significant and persistent seasonality, where the highest rates of return are obtained in the spring and early summer, and the lowest rates of return are obtained in the fall. This seasonality is explained by a joint...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116915
This paper studies the association between the current account and real estate valuation across countries, subject to data availability [43 countries, of which 25 are OECD], during 1990 - 2005. We find robust and strong positive association between current account deficits and the appreciation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003854910
This study reviews the literature on the determinants of a country's homeownership rate including factors such as demographic characteristics, household level economic variables, and government housing policies. We present a comprehensive model of a household's tenure choice, one that allows for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009375146
The aim of this paper is to review the international evidence on the impacts of mortgage interest deductions on homeownership rates. The probability of becoming a homeowner is a function of the relative cost of owning and renting, borrowing constraints, permanent household income, and a set of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009558474
This paper explores the stability of the key conditioning variables accounting for real estate valuation before and after the crisis of 2008 - 2009, in a panel of 36 countries, for the period of 2005:I - 2012:IV, recognizing the incidence of global financial crisis. Our paper validates the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771831
The Chinese housing market has grown rapidly following its liberalization in the 1990s, generating significant economic activity and demand for base metals. In this paper, we discuss the evolution of the Chinese housing market and quantify its importance for the overall Chinese economy and its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439874
From a broad macro-financial structure perspective, overly easy credit conditions gave rise to house price booms and busts in several advanced economies (e.g., Ireland, Spain, and the U.S.), and, more specifically in the U.S., an underpricing of risk made possible by regulatory arbitrage and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509124
The paper attempts to provide, for housing markets, evidence of 'shift-contagion' at the international level, i.e., regime shifts in the transmission of asset prices during crisis periods. The focus is in particular on UK and Spain. We use a Markov Switching FAVAR framework and regime-dependent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137045
The Campbell-Shiller present value formula implies a factor structure for the price-rent ratio of the housing market. Using a dynamic factor model, we decompose the price-rent ratios of 17 major housing markets into a national factor and independent local factors, and we link these factors to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090400
This paper argues that major gaps exist in the research and policy understanding of the intersection of flood risk, climate change and housing markets. When extrapolating the research on historical flooding to the effects of future floods – the frequency and severity of which are likely to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093489