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in the previous literature based on U.S. data - we find that the pooled government spending multiplier is small: below 0 ….2. This estimate, however, masks substantial heterogeneity: the debtfinanced spending multiplier is larger and can be well … above 1 if monetary policy is accommodative. The multiplier is especially large in recessions and when the government …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305775
Using VAR analysis on US data, we show that unanticipated fiscal expansions boost private consumption and business formation. Models with an extensive investment margin, i.e. endogenous firm and product entry, have difficulties explaining these two phenomena simultaneously. Considering different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339394
After the Global Financial Crisis a controversial rush to fiscal austerity followed in many countries. Yet research on the effects of austerity on macroeconomic aggregates was and still is unsettled, mired by the difficulty of identifying multipliers from observational data. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010463587
. Contrary to previous research, we find no strong evidence of monetary accommodation, a positive and larger fiscal multiplier in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010402581
. Contrary to previous research, we find no strong evidence of monetary accommodation, a positive and larger fiscal multiplier in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050083
Advanced economies face two important trends: population aging and rising debt. In the coming years it will be critical to understand how policies undertaken by governments interact with their changing age structures. In a panel of advanced economies, I show that fiscal deficit consolidation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311084
We define the notion of 'de facto fiscal space' of a country as the inverse of the outstanding public debt relative to the de facto tax base, where the latter measures the realized tax collection, averaged across several years to smooth for business cycle fluctuations. We apply this concept to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732193
We define the notion of 'de facto fiscal space' of a country as the outstanding public debt relative to the de facto tax base, where the latter measures the realized tax collection, averaged across several years to smooth for business cycle fluctuations. We apply this concept to account for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008699018
91 countries around the world have established fiscal rules to limit national debt and/or budget deficits. Using data from previous natural disasters, this report investigates how these fiscal rules affect overall economic development following a crisis. The results show countries with fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012426658
This paper presents an agent based model that investigates the possible outcomes of different fiscal and regulatory policies in a financially fragile economy. We analyse the consequences of the attempt by the government to counteract a downturn ignoring the debt dynamics as modelled by Fisher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130318