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This paper investigates price jumps in commodity markets. We find that jumps are rare and extreme events but occur less frequently than in stock markets. Nonetheless, jump correlations across commodities can be high depending on the commodity sectors. Energy, metal and grains commodities show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900597
international option returns exhibits a mispricing by sorting on ex-ante volatility returns. In addition, selling international ETP … options and buying their corresponding index options commands a positive risk premium. Both empirical findings are … economically large and pervasive internationally, whereas they are comparably small domestically. While volatility hedge funds are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915950
commodity markets. We find that CTAs can hedge against stock market tail risk and that CTAs with better hedging properties …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897343
of GARCH-X models improves the accuracy of their volatility forecasts for spot and 1-year time-charter tanker freight … of the volatility forecasts drawn …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893144
conventional momentum strategy into single-month momentum components. Historical information in the cross-section of returns at 10 … persists after controlling for standard risk factors, commodity-specific risks, behavioral factors, transaction costs …, commodity sectors or seasonality effects. The sources of risk and return in this anomaly are sufficiently different to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855221
Risk Premium and Skew Risk Premium for oil market. After estimation, the contribution of the paper is twofold. First, we … try to figure out which variables can describe the variation in variance and skew risk premium and the risk …-hedged and delta-vega hedged option portfolios and also oil futures return. The results show that variance risk premium is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920696
We show that the innovation in the risk-neutral probability of large downward and upward jumps in oil prices has a … addition, we observe that the upside jump risk probability is a significant predictor of stock market index return and the … market fundamentals including inventory growth, demand growth, and OPEC's production growth. Upside jump risk is also a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899468
This article investigates the pricing of volatility risk in agricultural commodity markets. We show theoretically that … the cost of bearing volatility risk can be measured using returns to delta-neutral straddles. Using a sample of options … investors are willing to pay a cost to avoid volatility risk. Second, volatility risk is priced mainly at short maturities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889824
demonstrate that geopolitical risk plays an important role in determining both oil price volatility and (to a lesser extent) stock … market volatility. An increase in geopolitical risk is associated with positive (negative) oil (stock) returns and is …Geopolitical events are widely reported in the press and may influence the risk premium demanded by investors in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867250
Bermudan cancelable features. We consider a three-factor pricing model with FX volatility skew which results in a time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133913