Showing 1 - 10 of 22,319
We examine the pricing of tail risk in international stock markets. We find that the tail risk of different countries … mainly driven by global tail risk rather than local tail risk. World fear is also priced in the crosssection of stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751251
This paper proposes a two-state predictive regression model and shows that stock market 12-month return (TMR), the time-series momentum predictor of Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen (2012), forecasts the aggregate stock market negatively in good times and positively in bad times. The out-of-sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974764
Using a news-based gauge of geopolitical risk, we study its role for asset pricing in global emerging markets. We find … that changes in risk positively predict future stock returns. The countries with the highest increase in geopolitical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352071
momentum prediction has been proved, the predictors can be applied to momentum risk management. I introduce two new momentum … been used before. I then introduce a new method of momentum risk management that has a lower transaction cost than existing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026403
This thesis investigates value and momentum effects in the U.S. market after the recent financial crisis as well as for other periods. Many researchers contend that market anomalies exist in the two popular forms, value and momentum effects, and have studied where abnormal profits arise. Not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071801
Despite momentum's strong historical performance, its returns have large negative skewness and occasionally experiences persistent strings of sharp negative returns, referred as "momentum crashes" in the recent literature. I argue that momentum crashes are due to crowded trades which push prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057742
Index) and individual stock price crash risk. We examine the stock price behavior of 35 countries' listed firms from 2004 to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867466
Political risk, one of the most significant uncertainty shocks, affects firms' future attitudes toward risks and plays … a crucial role in their decision making. A stock price crash risk is a classical topic in financial markets; therefore …, this paper probes the relationship between firm-level political risk and stock price crash risk based on a sample of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014636314
price discovery occurs around the clock for most assets. For a given asset, intraday risk and return distributions are … fairly similar, indicating a broadly constant risk-return-relationship during the day. Although the amount of price discovery … asset or other assets and by macroeconomic announcements. Both diffusion and jump risk are important drivers of intraday …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022677
The first Global Climate Strike on March 15, 2019 has represented a historical turn in climate activism. We investigate the cross-section of European stock price reactions to this event. Looking at a large sample of European firms, we find that the unanticipated success of this event caused a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299288