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realized volatility and its continuous and jump components. Considering buyer-initiated and seller-initiated trades and … investigate whether buyer and seller initiated trades as two factors of realized volatility, we investigate whether they have an … asymmetric effect on realized volatility. The stocks in the ASX50 sampled over the period January 1996 to April 2010 reveal that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138999
We propose a model of volatility tail behavior, in which the pricing measure dominates the physical measure in both … tails of the volatility distribution and, hence, the derived pricing kernel exhibits an increasing and decreasing region in … the volatility dimension. The model features investors who have heterogeneity in beliefs about volatility outcomes, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108996
This paper studies the predictability of S&P500 returns using short term risk premia as a conditioning variable. We construct dividend prices using futures data and identify short term risk premia by projecting excess returns of dividend claims on their lagged prices. Regression results for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091355
This paper investigates price jumps in commodity markets. We find that jumps are rare and extreme events but occur less frequently than in stock markets. Nonetheless, jump correlations across commodities can be high depending on the commodity sectors. Energy, metal and grains commodities show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900597
By computing a volatility index (CVX) from cryptocurrency option prices, we analyze the market's expectation of future … volatility. Our method addresses the challenging liquidity environment of this young asset class and allows us to extract stable … volatility benchmarks for traditional asset classes, such as VIX (equity) or GVX (gold), confirms that cryptocurrency volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829636
100 US dollars again. This study explains the volatility of petroleum futures contracts as low and high volatility in two … January 1990 to October 2017, the transition probabilities and durations between two different volatility regimes of oil … futures prices are explained. The volatility of the oil futures contract is switching between two regimes with low volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914438
This study examines the connectedness and time-frequency correlation of price volatility across the Chinese stock … market and major commodity markets. This paper applies a DCC-GARCH-based volatility connectedness model and the cross … spillovers in the system throughout the sample period, but the Chinese market plays the role of a net receiver of volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405070
advantages: i) ensures nonnegative interest rates, ii) easily accommodates unspanned factors affecting volatility and risk …, volatility, and risk premium dynamics — including when interest rates are close to the zero lower bound …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338764
Bermudan cancelable features. We consider a three-factor pricing model with FX volatility skew which results in a time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133913
This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. The former is exploited by trend-following models, while the latter by contrarian models. In total, the performance of 2580 widely used models is analyzed. When...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135708