This paper argues that first passage time models are likely to better than affine hazard rate models in modelling stressed credit markets and confirms their superior performance in explaining the behavior of Credit Default Swap rates for the major US banking groups over the period of the...

The post-crisis period has seen a considerable shift in the composition and drivers of international bank lending and international bond issuance, the two main components of global liquidity. The sensitivity of both types of flow to US monetary policy rose substantially in the immediate...

The post-crisis period has seen a considerable shift in the composition and drivers of international bank lending and international bond issuance, the two main components of global liquidity. The sensitivity of both types of flows to U.S. monetary policy rose substantially in the immediate...

This paper aims to examine the underlying causes of the sharp reduction in bank lending, which in turn is highlighting some structural weaknesses of Italian firms and financial system. The structure of this paper is as follows. Section 1 introduces the paper. Section 2 analyzes some drivers of...

Local lending decisions in distant areas of a country often move together and become unusually correlated around bad times such as financial crises. We study the role of individual banks in shaping this lending co-movement. As common banks operate in distant areas, many lending decisions are...

The syndicated loan market allows a more efficient geographical and institutional sharing of risk. Large US and European banks originate loans for emerging market borrowers and allocate them to local banks. Euro area banks have expanded pan-European lending and have found funding outside the...

Fintech has increasingly become part of the global economy with the evolution of technology, increasing investments in fintech firms, and greater integration between traditional incumbent financial firms and fintech. Since the 2007-2009 financial crisis, research has also paid more attention to...

This paper identifies robust determinants of US stock price movements in the economic shadow of the COVID-19 crisis and in the presence of model uncertainty, using several influential factors highlighted in relevant research. Our investigation performs an extreme bounds analysis (EBA), a global...

Who could have thought that banks would become nationalised, that state debts would reach historical levels, that bulge bracket investment banks would go bankrupt and that the masters of the universe would be so widely vilified? Each in their own way, the four reflections collected in this...

We show that banks' lending exposure to firms with government procurement contracts can amplify the diabolic loop between sovereigns and banks. Using the fiscal austerity measures implemented during the 2010-2011 European sovereign debt crisis as a shock to government procurement, we find that...