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There is a generalized conviction that variation in dividend yields is exclusively related to expected returns and not to expected dividend growth - e.g. Cochrane's presidential address (Cochrane (2011)). We show that this pattern, although valid for the aggregate stock market, is not true for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036406
Financial markets have experienced unprecedented transformations, signs of which have emerged since the late 1970s. In recent years substantial consolidation occurred. In response to changes in macroeconomic variables, such as GDP, industrial production, inflation and the political business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027466
This paper investigates how firm debt disproportionately impacted the stock returns of firms who were highly exposed to the economic consequences of social distancing. Specifically, I use a difference-in-difference design to causally identify the impact that higher levels of firm debt had for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831163
Stock-bond correlation is considered an important input for multi-asset portfolio construction. While there has been much research on US stockbond correlation, less work has focused on stock-bond correlations in other countries, their relationship to each other, and their common macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404695
This study is the first attempt to investigate stock market returns and liquidity reactions to the announcements of fiscal, monetary, prudential and other COVID-19 policies in 64 countries during 2020. The results reveal generally that financial and economic policies announcements boosted stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013491980
In this paper we develop new dynamic factor models to forecast multiple yield curves. Our methodology is based on a thorough empirical study of daily tenor-dependent term structures over the time period 2005-2017 which reveals important cross-tenor dependencies of yields. The suggested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850478
Intraday return predictability has firstly been identified in the equity markets, and we extend the analysis to the crude oil market by using high-frequency United States Oil Fund data from 2006 to 2018. We find a different intraday prediction pattern in the oil market, where only the first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839627
We have seen China's growing role in the past decades, and the world economy has become more exposed to the influence of China. This paper explores emerging China's impact on the global equity market through the lens of asset pricing. We study the predictive properties of the lagged China...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824300
Extreme asset price movements appear to be more pronounced recently and have major consequences for an economy's financial stability and monetary policies. This paper investigates the extreme behaviour of equity market returns and quantifies the probabilities of these losses. Taking fourteen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014049088
This article examines the relationship between changes in the level of investor fear (measured by VIX) and financial market returns. We document a statistically significant relationship, across asset classes, consistent with a flight to quality as investor fear increases. As VIX increase there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001187