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objective is to provide a framework to model conditional volatility regarding the changes in the investor sentiment by measuring … the effect of noise trader demand shocks on the volatility of stock market indexes of the various countries. GARCH, TARCH …, and EGARCH models are used to test whether earning shocks have more influence on the conditional volatility in high …
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This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. The former is exploited by trend-following models, while the latter by contrarian models. In total, the performance of 2580 widely used models is analyzed. When...
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Despite momentum's strong historical performance, its returns have large negative skewness and occasionally experiences persistent strings of sharp negative returns, referred as "momentum crashes" in the recent literature. I argue that momentum crashes are due to crowded trades which push prices...
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