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price volatility. To address this issue, we find a phenomenon, "momentum of jumps" (MoJ), that the predictive ability of the … jump component is persistent when forecasting the oil futures market volatility. Specifically, we propose a strategy that … according to their recent past forecasting performance. The volatility data are based on the intraday prices of West Texas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272635
country betas are time-varying and that currently, global factors are the dominant source of equity market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009770247
and the tests the volatility, as a factor, that may cause the correlations to change over time. Linear regression … the volatilities of individual markets or their relative volatility causes the change in correlations.The results suggest … market index returns, change over time and the variation in correlations is influenced by the volatility of the emerging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152875
Momentum is one of the largest and most pervasive market anomalies. However, despite a high mean and Sharpe ratio, momentum suffers from large negative skewness that comes from momentum crash periods. These crashes occur in times of both market stress and market rebound and thus variables that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026403
both conditional volatility and skewness. This has first order implications for managing risks associated with momentum … investing: an adjusted momentum portfolio which hedges in real time for both volatility and skewness risk outperforms benchmark … constant and dynamic volatility-managed momentum strategies. This result holds for different levels of transaction costs and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403316
-series momentum strategies on turnover and performance. We show that more efficient volatility estimation and price trend detection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905544
We test the existence of a time-series relationship between the aggregate idiosyncratic volatility and the market index … return at the global level by introducing various global measures of aggregate idiosyncratic volatility. We offer four … definitions of aggregate global idiosyncratic volatility (GIVOL) based on factor models and two other definitions, which are free …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896749
Using monthly returns for over 37,000 stocks from 46 developed and emerging market countries over a two-decade period, we test whether empirical asset pricing models capture the size, value, and momentum patterns in international stock returns. We propose and test a multi-factor model that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036967
This study decomposes a momentum factor (MOM) in the commodity futures market. A high-to-price (HTP) factor generates a higher Sharpe ratio than a price-to-high (PTH) factor. We uncover that the profitability mechanisms across three momentum factors are different. The positive returns on MOM and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403618
This paper evaluates and compares the ability of alternative option-implied volatility measures to forecast the monthly … realized volatility of crude-oil returns. We find that a corridor implied volatility measure that aggregates information from a …-free volatility expectations, as well as those generated by a high-frequency realized volatility model. In particular, this measure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835335