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Most anomalies fail to hold up to currently acceptable standards for empirical finance. With microcaps mitigated via NYSE breakpoints and value-weighted returns, 65% of the 452 anomalies in our data library, including 96% of the trading frictions category, cannot clear the single test hurdle of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908639
We study how investor sentiment affects stock prices around the world. Relying on households' Google search behavior, we construct a weekly measure of sentiment for 38 countries during the 2004–2014 period. We validate the sentiment index in tests using sports outcomes and show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936540
The anomalies literature is infested with widespread p-hacking. We replicate this literature by compiling a large data library with 447 anomalies. With microcaps alleviated via NYSE breakpoints and value-weighted returns, 286 anomalies (64%) including 95 out of 102 liquidity variables (93%) are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963348
We study a number of large international military conflicts since World War II where we establish a news analysis as a proxy for the estimated likelihood that the conflict will result in a war. We find that in cases when there is a pre-war phase, an increase in the war likelihood tends to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009273181
We construct investor sentiment indices for six major stock markets and decompose them into one global and six local indices. In a validation test, we find that relative sentiment is correlated with the relative prices of dual-listed companies. Global sentiment is a contrarian predictor of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117002
Investing in financial securities inevitably involves risks on the one hand and opportunities on the other hand. This thesis bundles four different studies on risks and/or opportunities in financial markets. In one study, we examine the cross-sectional explanatory power of different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084879
Extant literature consistently documents that investors tilt their domestic equity portfolios towards regionally close stocks (local bias). We hypothesize that individual investors' local bias is not limited to the domestic sphere but instead also determines their international investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064735
We identify flight-to-safety (FTS) days for 23 countries using only stock and bond returns and a model averaging approach. FTS days comprise less than 2% of the sample, and are associated with a 2.7% average bond-equity return differential and significant flows out of equity funds and into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905168
We identify flight-to-safety (FTS) days for 23 countries using only stock and bond returns and a model averaging approach. FTS days comprise less than 2% of the sample, and are associated with a 2.7% average bond-equity return differential and significant flows out of equity funds and into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905512
We identify flight-to-safety (FTS) days for 23 countries using only stock and bond returns and a model averaging approach. FTS days comprise less than 2% of the sample, and are associated with a 2.7% average bond-equity return differential and significant flows out of equity funds and into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898937