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The equity premium puzzle is one of the most important phenomena in finance. Related to behavioral finance, we use the concept of Myopic Loss Aversion (MLA) to explain the puzzle in developed and emerging markets. Empirically, we support the robustness of the positive equity premium across the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099661
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003803459
In this paper we consider the generation of implied volatility risk scenarios, with a special focus on swaption implied volatility smile, e.g., as modeled by a displaced SABR model.The generation of implied volatility risk scenarios is much more demanding than other risk factors, like interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982556
We identify a global risk factor in the cross-section of implied volatility returns in currency markets. A zero-cost strategy that buys forward volatility agreements with downward sloping implied volatility curves and sells those with upward slopes - volatility carry strategy - generates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902489
I develop and test a model to study the interaction between the commodity and stock markets. This study attempts to clarify the debate about the effect of financialization on commodity markets. Theoretically, the futures risk premium is determined by hedging pressure, stock market returns, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851801
I show that volatility risk of the dollar factor --- an equally weighted basket of developed U.S. dollar exchange rates --- carries a significant risk premium and that it is priced in the cross-section of currency volatility excess returns. The dollar factor volatility risk premium is negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920214
Using the model-independent approaches of Trolle and Schwartz (2008) and Kozhan et al (2013), we estimate the Variance Risk Premium and Skew Risk Premium for oil market. After estimation, the contribution of the paper is twofold. First, we try to figure out which variables can describe the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920696
Behavioral theories contend that the human decision-making process tends to both incorporate anchor points and improperly weight low probability events. In this study, we find evidence that equity option market investors anchor to prices and incorporate a probability weighting function similar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972165
This paper provides evidence on the degree of persistence of one of the key components of the CAPM, namely the market risk premium, as well as its volatility. The analysis applies fractional integration methods to data for the US, Germany and Japan, and for robustness purposes considers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012199998
Offshore assets present investors with an increased investment universe and additional opportunities for reward, but embedded exposure to exchange rates can result in additional risk. In this work, we consider a global equity portfolio of five equity indices (US, Japan, Europe, UK and Canada),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942052