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Beginning with the global financial crisis (2008) the correlation between crude oil prices and medium-term and forward inflation expectations increased leading to fears of their un-anchoring. Using the first principal component of commodity prices as a measure for global aggregate demand, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916305
We construct an empirical test of whether the anticipation of adoption of inflation targeting affects the inflation rate. We observe that most of the central banks adopt the regime after first achieving significant disinflation. With pre-inflation-targeting-disinflation, initial targets are met...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364299
The objective of this paper is to test empirical validity of Fear of Floating hypothesis for Turkey after the adoption of Inflation Targeting. We start applying methodologies developed by Calvo and Reinhart (2002) and Ball and Reyes (2004, 2008) to check the probabilities of changes in exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509199
The paper presents evidence on exchange rate pass-through and the "Fear of Floating" hypothesis before and after Inflation Targeting for a set of developed and emerging market economies. We use a structural VAR model to estimate the effect of depreciations on prices. The results support the view...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003368050
This paper provides an overview of the monetary policy actions undertaken by the Central Reserve Bank of Peru, combining its main inflation targeting framework with sterilised FX interventions and reserve requirement measures in order to overcome the spillover effects of global policies to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046932
This paper compares the performance of economies with different monetary regimes during the last quarter century. The conclusions include: (1) There is little evidence that inflation targeting affects performance in advanced economies, but some evidence of benefits in emerging economies; (2)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025619
This paper discusses how monetary policy in Sweden has evolved since 1973. We provide a chronology of the different monetary policy regimes in place during the past fifty years and identify two main regimes, the pegged-but-adjustable exchange rate regime (1973 - 1992) and the inflation targeting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014481194
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805671
Using data for 14 countries over the 1994 to 2005 period, we assess the leading indicator properties of gold at horizons ranging from 6 to 24 months. We find that gold contains significant information for future inflation for several countries, especially for those that have adopted formal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003484270
We analyze the impact of price stability-oriented monetary strategies (inflation targeting - IT - and constraining exchange rate arrangements) on inflation persistence using a time-varying coefficients framework in a panel of 68 countries (1993-2013). We show that explicit IT has a stronger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597229