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China's emergence in the world economy and business cycles in Latin America
Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, … - 2012
vividly illustrated. This paper investigates how changes in trade linkages between China, Latin America, and the rest of the … world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … from Latin America and the rest of emerging Asia (excluding China and India) GDP has not undergone any significant change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627525
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The global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks
Beutel, Johannes; Emter, Lorenz; Metiu, Norbert; … - 2022
We study the link between the global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks using quantile vector autoregressions. Contractionary shocks to financial conditions and monetary policy in the United States cause elevated downside risks to growth around the world. By tightening financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459721
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Regionalization vs. globalization
Hirata, Hideaki; Kose, M. Ayhan; Otrok, Christopher M. - 2013
Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution of global and regional business cycles. Our model allows us to assess the roles played by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009703626
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Regionalization vs. Globalization
Hirata, Hideaki - 2013
Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution of global and regional business cycles. Our model allows us to assess the roles played by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086323
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Regionalization vs. Globalization
Hirata, Hideaki - 2013
Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution of global and regional business cycles. Our model allows us to assess the roles played by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088886
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Regionalization vs. Globalization
Hirata, Hideaki - 2013
Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution of global and regional business cycles. Our model allows us to assess the roles played by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078917
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Common Trade Exposure and Business Cycle Comovement
Avila-Montealegre, Oscar; Mix, Carter - 2021
A large empirical literature has shown that countries that trade more with each other have more correlated business cycles. We show that previous estimates of this relationship are biased upward because they ignore common trade exposure to other countries. When we account for common trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231944
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Common Trade Exposure and Business Cycle Comovement
Avila-Montealegre, Oscar; Mix, Carter - 2022
A large empirical literature has shown that countries that trade more with each other have more correlated business cycles. We show that previous estimates of this relationship are biased upward because they ignore common trade exposure to other countries. When we account for common trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291764
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China's emergence in the world economy and business cycles in Latin America
Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, … - 2011
vividly illustrated. This paper investigates how changes in trade linkages between China, Latin America, and the rest of the … world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … to Latin America and the rest of emerging Asia (excluding China and India) GDP has not undergone any significant change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009311486
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China's Emergence in the World Economy and Business Cycles in Latin America
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011
vividly illustrated. This paper investigates how changes in trade linkages between China, Latin America, and the rest of the … world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … to Latin America and the rest of emerging Asia (excluding China and India) GDP has not undergone any significant change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121741