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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539089
Global inflation has risen sharply from its lows in mid-2020, on rebounding global demand, supply bottlenecks, and … soaring food and energy prices, especially since the Russian Federation's invasion of Ukraine. Markets expect inflation to … developments, the risk of stagflation-a combination of high inflation and sluggish growth-has risen. The recovery from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256317
Policy rates have on aggregate been below the levels implied by the Taylor rule for most of the period since the early 2000s in both advanced and emerging market economies. This finding suggests that monetary policy has probably been systematically accommodative for most of the past decade. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088020
We build a new empirical model to estimate the global impact of an increase in the volatility of US monetary policy shocks. Specifically, we admit time-varying variances of local structural shocks from a stochastic volatility specification. By allowing for rich dynamic interaction between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418859
setting, we find that US interest rate uncertainty not only drives local output and inflation volatility, but also causes … declines in output, inflation, and the interest rate. Moreover, we document strong global impacts, making the world move in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243822
This paper studies the inflation and interest rate performances since the late 1970s for six former highinflation … countries that adopted inflation targeting (IT) in the early 1990’s. Using Germany, Switzerland and the US for comparison, we … reducing the level and volatility of inflation. However, IT central banks did not outperform the central banks used as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010514284
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001659088
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001781835
There is no consensus over the importance of "global forces" on inflation. This study explores the role of structural … breaks in the inflation process, and their timing, whether it is common across countries, and the extent to which "global … forces" are relevant. Three conclusions stand out. Global inflation impacts inflation in both AE and EME, but the impact is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269197
actions are explained solely by its forecasts of inflation and real activity. Finally, we explore the possibility of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014128744