This paper proposes a dynamic information diffusion model that explains the lead-lag reaction of stock prices resulting from the interaction of price trends and implied price risk (IPR). Consistent with our model's predictions, we construct a zero investment underreaction portfolio (overreaction...

We investigate whether ESG ratings predict future ESG news and the associated market reactions. We find that the consensus rating predicts future news, but its predictive ability diminishes for firms with large disagreement between raters. Relation between news and market reaction is moderated...

In this paper, we find that price and earnings momentum are pervasive features of international equity markets even when controlling for data-snooping biases. For Europe, we show price momentum to be subsumed by earnings momentum on an aggregate level. However, this rationale can hardly be...

Despite momentum's strong historical performance, its returns have large negative skewness and occasionally experiences persistent strings of sharp negative returns, referred as "momentum crashes" in the recent literature. I argue that momentum crashes are due to crowded trades which push prices...

This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. The former is exploited by trend-following models, while the latter by contrarian models. In total, the performance of 2580 widely used models is analyzed. When...

We study how investor sentiment affects stock prices around the world. Relying on households' Google search behavior, we construct a weekly measure of sentiment for 38 countries during the 2004–2014 period. We validate the sentiment index in tests using sports outcomes and show that the...

This paper contributes to a growing body of literature studying investor sentiment. Separate sentiment measures for UK investors and UK institutional investors are constructed from commonly cited sentiment indicators using the first principle component method. We examine the cross-border...

This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. When based on daily data, the profitability of 2580 technical models has steadily declined since 1960, and has been unprofitable since .the early 1990s....