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We propose a model of volatility tail behavior, in which the pricing measure dominates the physical measure in both … tails of the volatility distribution and, hence, the derived pricing kernel exhibits an increasing and decreasing region in … the volatility dimension. The model features investors who have heterogeneity in beliefs about volatility outcomes, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108996
Despite momentum's strong historical performance, its returns have large negative skewness and occasionally experiences persistent strings of sharp negative returns, referred as "momentum crashes" in the recent literature. I argue that momentum crashes are due to crowded trades which push prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057742
preferences affect future spot price volatility. Consistent with our expectation, we find that preferences for lotteries by call … option traders directly affect future volatility in the underlying asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007407
This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. The former is exploited by trend-following models, while the latter by contrarian models. In total, the performance of 2580 widely used models is analyzed. When...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135708
We propose a model of volatility tail behavior, in which investors display aversion to both low volatility and high … volatility states, and, hence, the derived pricing kernel exhibits an increasing and decreasing region in the volatility … dimension. The model features investors who have heterogeneity in beliefs about volatility outcomes, and maximize their utility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050321
This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. When based on daily data, the profitability of 2580 technical models has steadily declined since 1960, and has been unprofitable since .the early 1990s....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226778
We document that the variation in market liquidity is an important determinant of momentum crashes that is independent of other known explanations surfaced on this topic. This relationship is driven by the asymmetric large return sensitivity of short-leg of momentum portfolio to changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895183
both conditional volatility and skewness. This has first order implications for managing risks associated with momentum … investing: an adjusted momentum portfolio which hedges in real time for both volatility and skewness risk outperforms benchmark … constant and dynamic volatility-managed momentum strategies. This result holds for different levels of transaction costs and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403316
We show that stock prices underreact when there is a political event, reflected in higher momentum returns. We conjecture that political news crowds out stock news cause investors to distract, trade more indexes and underreact to firm specific news. We analyze momentum returns following general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862184
Purpose - The present research aims to examine a range of momentum trading strategies for the tourism and hospitality sector. Design/methodology/approach - The paper followed the methodology of Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) to construct the portfolios. In this methodology, all portfolios were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013330980