. However, this result appears to be biased due to peso problems. -- Oil price ; survey data ; forecast bias ; peso problem …We use oil price forecasts from the Consensus Economic Forecast poll to analyze how forecasters form their expectations … role. Standard measures of forecast accuracy reveal forecasters' underperformance relative to the random walk benchmark …

forecasts, this bias tending to be higher in countries with less investor protection. This forecast bias declined significantly …

We investigate the association between corporate international diversification and the accuracy and bias of consensus …

rational explanation of the strong home bias observed in US investors' asset allocation, based on regime switching, skew and …

This paper analyzes the role of uncertainty on both exchange rate expectations and forecast errors of professionals for … Bayesian VAR approach, we observe that effects on forecast errors of professionals turn out to be more significant compared to …