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This paper investigates the sensitivity of the demand for safe government debt to currency unhedged and hedged excess returns in a sample of US mutual funds. We find evidence of active rebalancing towards government bonds that offer relatively higher returns on an unhedged basis, in particular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014527087
Bond carry trading is a popular strategy among investors who are looking for higher returns while minimizing risks. The … basic premise of this strategy is to buy a high yield bond and sell a low yield bond in the same currency and sector, with …
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Investments in international fixed income securities are exposed to significant currency risks. We collect novel data on mutual fund currency derivatives and document that around 90% of U.S. international fixed income funds use currency forwards to manage their foreign exchange exposure. Funds'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233697
We study the economic sources of stock-bond return comovement and its time variation using a dynamic factor model. We … dynamics of stock-bond return correlations poorly. Alternative factors, such as liquidity proxies, help explain the residual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132852
We examine the predictability of government bond returns using a deep sample spanning 70 years of international data … across the major bond markets. Using an economic, trading-based testing framework we find strong economic and statistical … evidence of bond return predictability with a Sharpe ratio of 0.87 since 1950. This finding is robust over markets and time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830713
filters out noise and provide evidence that it predicts bond risk premia well. This result holds in developed and emerging … that oil price increases are associated with subsequent higher bond returns. Besides, we demonstrate that not all oil price … shocks are alike: Although oil demand and supply shocks have opposite implications for economic activity and bond risk premia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012003274
-section of long-term bond returns after accounting for standard bond pricing factors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848481