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We estimate that the supply of sovereign safe assets is a major driver of neutral interest rates--real rates consistent with both economic activity and inflation at their trends. We find this result using an empirical cross-country model with many economic drivers for the neutral rates of 11...
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Bond portfolio outflows from emerging market economies (EMEs) are typically associated with currency depreciation and … crisis in mid-March 2020. The impact of bond portfolio outflows varies across countries, depending on factors such as bond … was thrown into sharper relief during the Covid-19 pandemic. Recent policy responses, such as bond purchase programmes …
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Yields on European sovereign bonds have reached historically low levels in 2016. The goals of this paper are to understand why interest rates are currently so low and to determine if this level is justified by fundamental factors, or if rates are artificially low because of unconventional...
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practitioner-orientated market research on many specialist areas of the bond and FX markets. Written by the highly regarded FX and …
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The study conducts an empirical test on dollar-denominated sovereign credit spreads in emerging markets, including Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, the Philippines, the Russian Federation, and Turkey to examine their relationship with each country's exchange rate and the United States (US) Treasury...
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