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I test for the presence of asymmetric volatility in Japanese Yen cross-rate futures markets. My investigation is based … 2004 through 2009. I find that appreciation against the Japanese Yen (JPY) leads to significantly greater volatility for … on a variant of the heterogeneous autoregressive volatility model, using daily realized variance and return series from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144282
This paper examines the cross-dynamics of volatility term structures implied by foreign exchange options. The data used … in the empirical analysis consist of daily observations of implied volatilities for OTC options on the euro, Japanese yen … common factors can explain a vast proportion of the variation in volatility term structures across currencies. Furthermore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318310
This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. The former is exploited by trend-following models, while the latter by contrarian models. In total, the performance of 2580 widely used models is analyzed. When...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135708
This study investigates how prices respond to unanticipated crude oil inventory shocks and how quickly the markets incorporate news in crude oil, gasoline, and heating oil futures markets by using structured vector autoregression (SVAR) models based on EIA inventory report announcement and news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307507
This study investigates how prices respond to unanticipated crude oil inventory shocks and how quickly the markets incorporate news in crude oil, gasoline, and heating oil futures markets by using structured vector autoregression (SVAR) models based on EIA inventory report announcement and news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311571
This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. When based on daily data, the profitability of 2580 technical models has steadily declined since 1960, and has been unprofitable since .the early 1990s....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226778
We study how the excess market return depends on the time of the day using E-mini S&P 500 futures that are actively traded for almost 24 hours. Strikingly, four hours around European open account for the entire average market return. This period's returns are consistently positive in every year,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834630
commodity futures markets. We ask whether limit events are the result of shocks to fundamental volatility or the result of … temporary volatility induced by the trading of non-commercial market participants (speculators). We find little evidence that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900566
of GARCH-X models improves the accuracy of their volatility forecasts for spot and 1-year time-charter tanker freight … of the volatility forecasts drawn …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893144
In this study, we derive a CDS implied equity volatility index from highly liquid one-year contracts in the Eurozone …, and for the inclusive period 2008-2014. We analyze the relationship between this volatility index and the VSTOXX 12M … relationship between the two volatility indices in which the CDS implied index plays the leading role …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932044