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We consider forecast guidance as a mechanism that managers use to avoid negative earnings surprises. Modeling forecast … forecast guidance to avoid negative earnings surprises than managers in weak-investor-protection countries. We also show that … US managers are more prone to use forecast guidance to avoid negative earnings surprises than managers in other countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014115221
forecast levels. A country's proximity to the US, importance to the firm, and visibility, as well as availability of more … precise information about foreign country exposures, contribute to consensus forecast efficiency. We identify a dimension of … — and show that it contributes to forecast efficiency, accuracy, and informativeness and that it helps the analyst achieve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011800867
, higher forecast accuracy, and lower forecast dispersion. Moreover, the effect of product market power on analyst following … and forecast properties is more pronounced in countries with less effective competition laws and higher entry costs. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031494
Companies that go public on global stock markets are not obliged to disclose earnings forecasts in their prospectuses. We use this fact to examine the shipping sector, where most firms issue earnings forecasts during the IPO process, and provide unique, international-level evidence. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940288
forward-looking information, thereby influencing corporate management forecast practices in different countries. We predict … voluntary disclosures and explains the cross-country variations in management forecast practices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886230
the level of annual report disclosure; and between forecast accuracy and the degree of enforcement of accounting standards …. I document that firm-level disclosures are positively related to forecast accuracy, suggesting that such disclosures … associated with higher forecast accuracy. This finding is consistent with the hypothesis that enforcement encourages managers to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014101903
We investigate the association between corporate international diversification and the accuracy and bias of consensus analysts' earnings forecasts. We find that greater corporate international diversification is associated with less accurate and more optimistic forecasts. Our results suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014123011
Sell-side analysts have been the subject of hundreds of academic studies. In this paper, I offer perspectives on the state of our understanding of analysts based on prior academic research. Additionally, several observations are offered, which question how descriptive certain widely held beliefs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122787
We propose a global expected business cycle condition factor (GEBC) relying on OECD leading economic indicators of 18 stock markets through Principal Component Analysis (PCA) approach, and show that this index is a powerful predictor for stock returns around the globe both in- and out-of-sample....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350912
Using multiple short sale measures, we examine the predictive power of short sales for future stock returns in 38 countries from July 2006 to December 2014. We find that the days-to-cover ratio and utilization ratio measures have the most robust predictive power for future stock returns in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855971