market information can be used to improve realized volatility forecasts in a large cross-section of international equity … markets. We use volatility data for the U.S. and 17 foreign equity markets from the Oxford Man Institute's realized library … and augment for each foreign equity market our benchmark HAR model with U.S. equity market volatility information. We show …

heteroscedasticity (GARCH)-type models to forecast oil price volatility over the time periods from January 02, 1875 to December 31, 1895 … indicate that none of our volatility models can uniformly outperform other models across all six different loss functions …

degree of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which … forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation … distribution of returns. Carefully modeling this volatility risk is fundamental. We propose a dually asymmetric realized volatility …

; extreme value theory ; bootstrapping …

A Monte Carlo (MC) experiment is conducted to study the forecasting performance of a variety of volatility models under … Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity models ((FI)GARCH), the Stochastic Volatility model (SV) and the Markov … different characterizations of the latent volatility process: specifications which incorporate short/long memory, autoregressive …

This paper considers the problem of model uncertainty in the case of multi-asset volatility models and discusses the … management. Evaluation of volatility models is then considered and a simple Value-at-Risk (VaR) diagnostic test is proposed for …

This paper investigates the role of investor attention in forecasting realized volatility for fourteen international … augmented Empirical Similarity model that combines three volatility components, defined over different time horizons, using the … similarity measure between lagged Google search queries and volatility. Results show that investor attention positively affects …