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This review article tries to answer four questions: (i) what are the stylized facts about uncertainty over time; (ii) why does uncertainty vary; (iii) do fluctuations in uncertainty matter; and (iv) did higher uncertainty worsen the Great Recession of 2007-2009? On the first question both macro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055639
This review article tries to answer four questions: (i) what are the stylized facts about uncertainty over time; (ii) why does uncertainty vary; (iii) do fluctuations in uncertainty matter; and (iv) did higher uncertainty worsen the Great Recession of 2007-2009? On the first question both macro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061964
bring volatility to emerging markets. Are there mechanisms to reap the benefits of capital flows without being hurt by their … volatility? Are current practices, such as large reserves accumulation, public deleveraging, and export promotion strategies …, efficient external insurance mechanisms? In this paper we start by documenting the external volatility faced by emerging markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014054224
Accommodative monetary policy during the financial crisis was instrumental in preventing a deeper recession. Views differ, however, on how long such measures should be kept in place. At the heart of this debate is the notion that a protracted period of policy accommodation could create...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065335
We study the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on euro area inflation and how it compares to the experiences of other …-output linkages, affecting both trade and inflation; (2) inflation can be higher under sector-specific labor shortages relative to a … domestic aggregate demand shocks in explaining euro area inflation over 2020-21; and (4) international trade did not respond to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013277488
We estimate a multi-country, multi-sector New Keynesian model to quantify the drivers of domestic inflation during 2020 …-23 in several countries, including the United States. The model matches observed inflation together with sector-level prices … and wages. We further measure the relative importance of different types of shocks on inflation across countries over time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014440764
of inflation is determined by a shock originating abroad, which indeed generates the main bulk of volatility in the …Since 2000 U.S. inflation has remained both below target and silent to domestic slack and monetary interventions. A … inflation. The trend analysis shows that, starting from the '90s, despite very well-anchored expectations, slow-moving imported …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795587
are minor, and an inflation targeting rule represents an effective policy for the EME. With frictions in financial … intermediation, however, spillovers are substantially magnified, and an inflation targeting rule has little advantage over an … exchange rate peg. However, an optimal monetary policy markedly improves on the performance of naive inflation targeting or an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000728
. Thus, financial repression is most successful in liquidating debts when accompanied by a steady dose of inflation …. Inflation need not take market participants entirely by surprise and, in effect, it need not be very high (by historic standards …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067013
The global financial crisis (2008-09) led to a sharp contraction in both Euro Area (EA) and US real activity, and was followed by a long-lasting slump. However, the post-crisis adjustment in the EA and the US shows striking differences—in particular, the EA slump has been markedly more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969881