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This paper investigates the impacts of inflation uncertainty on inflation and economic activities. We take three steps …. We first put together various measures of inflation uncertainty—including survey- and model-based - and extract a common … inflation uncertainty for the group of seven advanced economies and seven large emerging market economies. Using the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257675
We examine the effect of inflation variability and economic growth using annual historical data on both developing and … inflation variability by the five-year coefficient of variation of inflation, we obtain the following results: (1) For … developing countries, there is significant evidence to suggest that when the rate of inflation exceeds 10% inflation variability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038056
A number of studies document the prominent role of global factors in domestic inflation developments (e.g. Borio and … Filardo, 2007; Ciccarelli and Mojon, 2010). In this paper we investigate global dimensions of advanced economy inflation. We … inflation expectations and augment Phillips curves with global factors including global economic slack, global inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984217
The paper examines changes in the Bulgarian economy following the global financial and economic crisis of 2008. The discussion is primarily based on the behavior of economic agents in the crisis – households and companies. The paper also seeks to address the changes in the external and fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985515
Ghana is poised to be one of the fastest growing economies in Sub-Saharan Africa because of its emerging oil and gas industry. Ghana's discovery of oil in commercial quantities in 2007 and its commencement of production in 2010 are expected to have an impact on the economy. To investigate these,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999305
We use a data set of inflation expectations that covers 20 years and 44 countries to investigate the relationship … between the level and uncertainty of inflation. While there is strong and robust evidence of a relationship between average … inflation and average uncertainty across countries, there is little evidence in our data for a within country relationship. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014068744
We construct an empirical test of whether the anticipation of adoption of inflation targeting affects the inflation … rate. We observe that most of the central banks adopt the regime after first achieving significant disinflation. With pre-inflation …-in-difference framework. We find that inflation targeting is successful in locking-in already low inflation rather than reducing high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364299
both unemployment and inflation rates in the long term, while other factors showed a negative correlation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014636061
declined materially. The analysis decomposes the inflation breakevens to strip out the role of inflation expectations and risk …Recovering from the COVID sell-off, inflation brekaeven increased sharply in the second half of 2020 while real yields … premia. Despite evidence of upward movement in five-year market-implied inflation expectations after the March sell …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232963
We analyze the evolution and drivers of inflation during the pandemic and the likely trajectory of inflation in the … near-term using an event study of inflation around global recessions and a factor-augmented vector auto-regression (FAVAR …) model. We report three main results. First, the decline in global inflation during the 2020 global recession was the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584054