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We use the US presidential election on 3 November 2020 to examine how the US president influences economic expectations of international experts. We design a large-scale RCT among 843 experts working in 107 countries, asking about their expectations regarding GDP growth, unemployment, inflation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012417461
We use the US presidential election on 3 November 2020 to examine how the US president influences economic expectations of international experts. We design a large-scale RCT among 843 experts working in 107 countries, asking about their expectations regarding GDP growth, unemployment, inflation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012504604
Laboratory evidence shows that when people have to argue for a given position, they persuade themselves about the position’s factual and moral superiority. Such self-persuasion limits the potential of communication to resolve conflict and reduce polarization. We test for this phenomenon in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191465
Political polarization and lack of trust can greatly hamper the implementation of beneficial policies and broader economic development. Thus it is crucial to understand how to build trust, especially in polarized societies. We argue that carefully-designed exposure to trade in broad financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362358
migration, both increased voting for NZF in its first years of existence. These shocks led to changes in political attitudes and … policy preferences and had persistent effects on voting for NZF even twenty years later. Overall, they play an important role … in explaining the rise of populism in NZ. Understanding how these shocks led to the development of NZF is particularly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517514
The recent literature on the determinants of populism has highlighted the role of long-term trends of progressive … earthquakes in Italy resulted in sharply diverging electoral outcomes: while the 2012 Emilia quake did not alter voting behaviour …, the 2009 L’Aquila earthquake paved the way for an impressive and persistent surge in right-wing populism in the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012494012
Societies see growing support for populist politicians who advocate an end to globalization. Our behavioral economics model links impatience to voters’ appraisals of an income shock due to globalization that is associated with short-run costs and delayed gains. The model shows that impatient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012258291
Although the application of the conceptual and analytical framework of economics to the study of populism is still in …. When analyzing populism, economists face two methodological hurdles: lack of consensus and clarity about its definition and … analysis of populism draws concepts from other social sciences such political theory, sociology, history and social psychology. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009237
that fellow voters will accept particularistic benefits from poorly performing governments that keep them from voting … campaign promises, in turn, leads voters to hold low political trust. Low quality government, and in particular populism …,800 respondents in seven Latin American countries that provides support for a novel argument about populism and the quality of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154891
migration, both increased voting for NZF in its first years of existence. These shocks led to changes in political attitudes and … policy preferences and had persistent effects on voting for NZF even twenty years later. Overall, they play an important role … in explaining the rise of populism in NZ. Understanding how these shocks led to the development of NZF is particularly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012507554