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We document that investors can actually profit from the contemporaneous link between earnings accuracy and recommendation profitability (Loh and Mian (2006)). Differentiating between "able" and "lucky" analysts we suggest an implementable, i.e. look-ahead bias free, trading strategy that yields...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008696828
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009723028
In this study, we analyze the forecast accuracy and profitability of buy recommendations published in five major German financial magazines for private households based on fundamental analysis. The results show a high average forecast accuracy but with a very high standard deviation, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012150526
This paper examines whether security analyst earnings forecasts for firms primarily operating in the gold market can be utilised to predict returns on the price of gold.We first demonstrate that analysts are at least in part basing their earnings forecasts for gold firms on the return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967299
This paper examines contracts and the costs of accessing private markets globally. Contract terms vary by fund region and type. European funds charge lower fees than US funds, but evidence linking regulation to fee compression is weak. Investors’ costs are estimated to be 5% to 26% of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255326
We introduce Climate Change Valuation Adjustment (CCVA) to capture climate change impacts on CVA+FVA that are currently invisible assuming typical market practice. To discuss such impacts on CVA+FVA from changes to instantaneous hazard rates we introduce a flexible and expressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228946
We develop quantitative methods to support financial product analysis-redesign required by the Carbon Equivalence Principle (CEP) to achieve financial net-zero and thus carbon net-negative positions. We then apply the CEP analysis-redesign to project finance for power generation across a range...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013301082
Funds of Hedge Funds (FHF) are perceived to be the premier choice of institutional investors for first-time allocations into the alternative investment asset class. While many papers cover the bright side of FHF investing, we in this paper empirically investigate the maximum drawdowns of FHF....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003796083
Most research on the performance and risk of hedge funds are based on calculations that just use the data from one index provider. Also most product providers and even more and more investors are using hedge fund indices for benchmarking purposes. As some academic articles pointed out, the world...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003750292
This paper shows that analyst recommendations aggregated at the country level predict international stock market returns. A trading strategy based on past country-level recommendations yields an abnormal return of around 0.9 percent per month. Aggregate analyst recommendations also predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986529